Jet Stream plunges south
This mornings 250mb chart shows the Jet stream well to our south. Quite a contrast to last week when it was up in Canada. We've gone to summer like weather to very late fall like weather. It maybe a few more weeks before we get into a new pattern, otherwise look for cool temperatures.
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Posted by Meteorologist Frank Watson at 10/2/2009 1:35 PM | View Comments (0) | Add Comment | Trackbacks (0)
If this was July
The upper level winds are holding in a mid summer pattern. If this was July we would be having readings in the upper 90's to lower 100's. I expect the pattern to continue.
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Posted by Meteorologist Frank Watson at 9/18/2009 10:06 AM | View Comments (0) | Add Comment | Trackbacks (0)
80º readings in a row
The forecast for today and tomorrow calls for highs of 80º or warmer. If we reach 80º today and tomorrow we will tie this Summers number of 80º readings or greater in a row of 8.
Sept. 8-13, 6 days so far. No 90º readings.
 
Other stretches of 80º or warmer:
 
August 8th -15th,  8 days, one day of 90º
July 5-7, 22-24,  3 days twice, no 90º
June 22-27, 6 days, includes 3 days of 90º+
May 18-20, 3 days, includes 2 day of 90º+
 
Our Warmest stretch of temperatures (6 days or longer) was June 22-27 when the high averaged 89.0º
 
From August 8-15 the average high was 84.9º. (8 days)
 
Currently Sept 8-13 the average high has been 81.7º. ( 6 days)
 
The period of June 18-27 was also very warm, when 9 of the 10 days were 80º or warmer. it was 79º on the June 21. The average high during this period was 86.7º.
 
The two warmest days came on May 19-20 when we hit 97º and 94º, respectively.

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Posted by Meteorologist Frank Watson at 9/14/2009 9:08 AM | View Comments (0) | Add Comment | Trackbacks (0)
Long Range Forecast
Posted Midwest October 2009 long range forecast at http://www.weathermanwatson.com/maps.htm
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Posted by Meteorologist Frank Watson at 9/10/2009 2:32 PM | View Comments (0) | Add Comment | Trackbacks (0)
Summer Weather
The weather that we've experienced the past couple of weeks here in the Midwest is much more reminiscent of a Summertime Weather pattern.  Even though it has been mild if this pattern had been in place in July we most likely would have had temperatures in the 90's with dew points in the 60's or low 70's. Timing is everything. The pattern we experienced in July was more like a winter weather pattern. If it was January we would have been in a deep cold.

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Posted by Meteorologist Frank Watson at 9/9/2009 10:28 AM | View Comments (0) | Add Comment | Trackbacks (0)
This is Cold
Okay, this is cold. Teens below is one thing but once you hit the 20 below mark, well that is cold. It could be colder but lets not split hiars about it. However I must say I'm surpised by people's atittude, sure they don't like the cold but I've heard a few say it doesn't feel that bad. The sun is out and bright which seems to ease the pain. Once we get through this cold this should be it for the for this season.  February is just around the corner. Its bright past 5pm now. The sun is getting higher and higher in the sky. A warmup is on the way.

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Posted by Meteorologist Frank Watson at 1/15/2009 10:21 PM | View Comments (0) | Add Comment | Trackbacks (0)
Cold
Needless to say my forecast for a warmer than normal December (2008) looks like dust in the wind or more like buried under six inches of snow. The Foxe Basin Low (250mb Low Pressure) has done us in again. I guess there are people that do enjoy the cold. The snow that has fallen has benefited from the cold providing great conditions for skiing and snowmobiling.

There is hope for those who want warmer temperatures. The Foxe Basin Low has moved eastward and is over Greenland. This could mean a shift in our weather pattern. It will take a few days for the cold to move out but if the 250 Low could stay over Greenland this may mean warmer weather for Minnesota and the Midwest.

Meanwhile we're averaging about 5º colder than normal for December. Its felt more like January than December.  If December finishes below normal this would be the first time since 1995 and 1996.

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Posted by Meteorologist Frank Watson at 12/18/2008 10:00 AM | View Comments (0) | Add Comment | Trackbacks (0)
Summer 2008 Forecast
Posted May 23, 2008...   My summer outlook for the Greater St. Paul / Minneapolis Region.

The Foxe Basin Low. What is that and why do we care? The Foxe Basin is very important to us. First of all the Foxe Basin is located north of Hudson's Bay, right around the Artic Circle. An upper level Low (250 mb)has been sitting there since last December and it has been virtually unmovable. The jet stream (highway for storms)has been deflecting the air from the Foxe Basin down onto us resulting in our cooler than normal weather.

Until this upper level Low breaks down we'll be experiancing cooler than normal temperatures. I suspect the cooler air will be with us June, July and August resulting in cooler than normal temperatures. The 90's we had last summer won't be as numerous this summer. The Fall months will be our break-out months. I suspect that temperatures will begin trending near to above normal begining late Ocotober and November.

I still have a handfull of 2008 calendars available for order. Here is a link,  http://weathermanwatson.com/calendar.htm

It's well worth it!

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Posted by Meteorologist Frank Watson at 5/23/2008 11:41 AM | View Comments (0) | Add Comment | Trackbacks (0)
cold
I was taking a look at the upper air maps this past week and it looks like the cold pattern we're in shows no sign of breaking. It looks like at least another couple of weeks if not more of the Jet staying to our south. We'll have short breakouts of warmer temperatures but nothing that will last.

Forecast for this Summer Temperatures.

June Colder
July Colder
Ausgust cooler

Don't worry about a cold winter. I'm forecasting a warm winter with a very mild December.
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Posted by Meteorologist Frank Watson at 5/10/2008 7:33 AM | View Comments (0) | Add Comment | Trackbacks (0)
long range forecast
I've posted my March 2008 forecast for the midwest at:

http://weathermanwatson.com/maps.htm
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Posted by Meteorologist Frank Watson at 2/7/2008 9:26 AM | View Comments (0) | Add Comment | Trackbacks (0)
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